Russia’s 2017 Defense Spending Cut Is Not What It Seems

BRUSSELS — The May 2 announcement by SIPRI, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, that Russia’s defense budget in 2017 fell by 20 percent made many headlines across the West, with predictions of major fallout for Moscow’s military modernization goals, operations, and tactics and its international influence. However, the reality is far from that scenario as most defense economists and NATO officials who follow the subject know.

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The Future of Transatlantic Strategic Superiority

The U.S. Defense Innovation Initiative — also referred to as the Third Offset Strategy (TOS) — was announced in November 2014 to address the erosion of U.S. technological superiority and deterrence. The U.S. Department of Defense launched an ambitious innovation-based program to offset the competition from states in a long-term perspective and to “identify and invest innovative ways to sustain and advance U.S. military dominance for the 21st century.”

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A Strategy for Deterring Russian De-Escalation Strikes

In recent years, Western analysts have become aware of the possibility that Russia may conduct limited nuclear “de-escalation” strikes in a bid to escalate its way out of failed conventional aggression. The United States and its NATO allies, however, have not developed a clear strategy for deterring limited Russian nuclear strikes.

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NATO’s Value to the United States: By the Numbers

Questions have emerged in the United States about the value of America’s transatlantic alliance in an age when many Americans call for fewer foreign commitments and a stronger focus on domestic issues. NATO’s role and value to the United States was highlighted during the 2016 presidential campaign, and President Donald J. Trump has continued to ask questions about the relevance of the Alliance, calling for better burden-sharing between the United States and its European allies.

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A Blueprint for US Strategy in the Baltics

Since regaining independence, the Baltic states have transformed themselves into some of Europe’s most dynamic economies with some of the fastest growth rates in Europe. Baltic societies are highly digitized and connected to the outside world. They are also committed to democratic values of openness, human rights, and rule of law.

Today, these accomplishments face a new test emerging from a Kremlin intent on sowing division and mistrust, undermining our democratic societies, and intimidating our allies.

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Democratic Defense Against Disinformation

“The Russians and other purveyors of disinformation will constantly improve their tactics; our counter-tactics therefore cannot be static,” write Ambassador Daniel Fried and Dr. Alina Polyakova in Democratic Defense Against Disinformation, a new publication by the Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center. This report is part of the broader transatlantic effort to identify democratic solutions for countering disinformation in the short term and building societal resistance to it in the long term.

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Deconstructing PESCO: Washington’s Apparent, Actual, and Misplaced Fears About European Defense Plans

Washington has recently revived concerns about the ultimate purpose of the European Union (EU)’s nascent defense plans, avowing these could undermine NATO and transatlantic solidarity if US officials don’t keep a “close eye” on them.

This is bombast. Officially, such concern may appear to rest on political, strategic, or military imperatives about NATO’s cohesion, but the real reason can only be one of two things: either dawning economic worry or ignorance about what is really at play—and possible—in Brussels on the opposite side of town from NATO.

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